Poblense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
XER
2 - 2
PBL
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
PBL
3 - 1
TAL
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ALC
3 - 1
PBL
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
PBL
0 - 1
AGD
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ORI
0 - 0
PBL
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
RJA
5 - 0
TAL
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
AGD
4 - 2
RJA
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
RJA
3 - 1
LEV
55%
25%
19%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
BET
2 - 3
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |