Poblense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.1%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FLN
0 - 1
PBL
17%
22%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
PBL
1 - 1
SDF
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 3
PBL
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PBL
2 - 3
IBI
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SRF
0 - 1
PBL
14%
21%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
ESP
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CDS
1 - 0
MER
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SLL
2 - 1
MER
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
LLO
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
STA
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |