Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PBL
3 - 0
ESP
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PXD
3 - 1
PBL
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PBL
2 - 1
SRF
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 1
PBL
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PBL
4 - 0
CDS
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
PXD
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SRF
2 - 0
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
MER
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 4
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FER
3 - 3
UDR
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |