Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
PBL
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MNU
0 - 0
PBL
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PBL
0 - 0
SRF
58%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UDA
0 - 2
PBL
20%
25%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PBL
0 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
SDF
21%
26%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PCE
2 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FER
2 - 3
MNU
42%
27%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |