Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SFF
3 - 1
PBL
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PBL
1 - 1
CAM
61%
22%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDE
0 - 1
PBL
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PBL
2 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CFP
1 - 1
PBL
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BNS
1 - 0
FER
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
FLN
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
FER
50%
25%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
CLL
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |