Poblense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 1
PBL
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
PBL
0 - 1
BNS
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MNU
1 - 1
PBL
41%
27%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PBL
1 - 0
MHN
51%
26%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
PBL
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FER
2 - 0
ATB
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
SOL
0 - 2
FER
28%
28%
44%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ADC
0 - 0
FER
39%
28%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
FER
6 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BNS
2 - 0
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |