SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque vs Punta Umbria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
ALJ
4 - 1
GBL
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 1
ALJ
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ALJ
4 - 1
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TRB
0 - 3
ALJ
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALJ
1 - 1
MAZ
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Punta Umbria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
PUM
2 - 3
CAR
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PUM
3 - 1
GBL
59%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PUM
3 - 1
DIN
46%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 1
PUM
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PUM
3 - 2
TRB
81%
11%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |