SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque vs CD Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 2
ALJ
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALJ
1 - 0
REC
57%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALJ
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
ALJ
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALJ
0 - 1
CDC
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 3
PUM
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
EST
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
GBL
28%
23%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
REC
0 - 1
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |