SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque vs CD Castillejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
61.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 2
HIN
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ALJ
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALJ
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GBL
1 - 1
ALJ
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castillejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DCA
0 - 1
CAS
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
REP
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EST
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
HIN
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
4 - 0
CAS
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |