Pm Caravaca vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pm Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARC
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MEN
4 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CDT
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ADP
1 - 1
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
JAV
0 - 2
CAR
68%
16%
16%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
6 - 0
CAR
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 2
VIL
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
AFC
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 1
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CDB
1 - 4
VIL
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |