Pm Caravaca vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
64.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pm Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALC
38%
22%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
JAV
4 - 1
CAR
44%
21%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
IFA
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
JUM
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
JUM
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 0
ARC
58%
19%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ABA
3 - 1
VIL
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
7 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ELP
0 - 3
VIL
9%
15%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |