Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PLY
0 - 2
SUN
24%
25%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PLY
0 - 5
CHE
40%
22%
38%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 4
PLY
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
PLY
3 - 1
GIL
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PLY
2 - 3
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
4 - 0
STE
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
STE
3 - 2
OLD
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
STE
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
STE
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
STE
0 - 1
CRE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |