Plymouth Argyle vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Plymouth Argyle Oldham Athletic AFC
64 ELO 55
-12.3% Tilt -10.5%
1474º General ELO ranking 3709º
47º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Plymouth Argyle
19.9%
Draw
16.5%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.5%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
+1%
+21%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 1954
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
70%
17%
13%
63 73 10 0
26 Dec. 1953
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
2 - 2
Fulham
FUL
41%
25%
34%
63 71 8 0
25 Dec. 1953
FUL
Fulham
3 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
72%
16%
12%
64 71 7 -1
19 Dec. 1953
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
49%
24%
27%
63 69 6 +1
12 Dec. 1953
BCF
Bury
3 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
60%
21%
20%
64 58 6 -1

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 1953
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Brentford
BRE
61%
20%
19%
54 61 7 0
25 Dec. 1953
BRE
Brentford
3 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
61%
21%
18%
55 60 5 -1
19 Dec. 1953
HUL
Hull City
8 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
68%
18%
14%
56 64 8 -1
12 Dec. 1953
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
51%
22%
27%
57 73 16 -1
05 Dec. 1953
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
77%
14%
9%
56 70 14 +1