Plymouth Argyle vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
WYC
1 - 1
PLY
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
PLY
38%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 3
BPO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PLY
2 - 0
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 1
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 3
YEO
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BPO
3 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
OPA
1 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
GRI
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |