Plymouth Argyle vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
PLY
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 0
PLY
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 2
PLY
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
3 - 2
YEO
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WYC
1 - 1
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 2
CUM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 0
EXE
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 3
MOR
52%
23%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |