Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 2
PLY
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
GUL
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 0
PLY
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 3
PLY
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
BUR
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
DAG
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |