Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WYC
1 - 1
PLY
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 3
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
3 - 2
AFC
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
STA
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WYC
0 - 1
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
GUL
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
ROC
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |