Plymouth Argyle vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DON
0 - 1
PLY
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PLY
1 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
WYC
1 - 1
PLY
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
PLY
38%
28%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 3
BPO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
CAM
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
GRI
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 1
STA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
STA
5 - 0
LEY
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |