Plus Ultra vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
PLU
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 1
CFC
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
PLU
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PLU
0 - 2
EGP
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
PLU
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
PUL
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDB
0 - 2
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
MSM
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 1
MAR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
CIE
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |