Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
PLU
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PLU
1 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PLU
3 - 2
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
PLU
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 0
CIE
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
PUL
2 - 0
LOR
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -6 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +5 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 2
ABA
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | -6 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LHO
2 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +8 |