Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 0
PLU
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PLU
2 - 1
CPE
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 4
PLU
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PLU
1 - 2
ABA
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
YEC
2 - 2
PLU
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 0
PUT
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 3
LOR
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
61%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |