Plus Ultra vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PLU
0 - 1
EGP
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 1
PLU
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PLU
1 - 4
YEC
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
IMP
2 - 1
PLU
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PLU
0 - 1
UCA
15%
24%
61%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JUM
3 - 1
MSM
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAU
3 - 0
JUM
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PUL
0 - 1
JUM
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
EGP
1 - 2
JUM
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JUM
3 - 0
CFC
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |