Plus Ultra vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BUL
0 - 0
PLU
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PLU
3 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
PLU
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PLU
0 - 0
PIN
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 0
PLU
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
PUL
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 4
LOR
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 0
MSM
79%
13%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 0
LOR
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | -3 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 1
CIE
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |