Plus Ultra vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PLU
3 - 1
JUM
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 2
PLU
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
YEC
2 - 0
PLU
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PLU
2 - 0
ESP
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
PLU
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 2
UCA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
JUM
0 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
IMP
3 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |