Plus Ultra vs Club Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
PLU
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PLU
0 - 0
PIN
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 0
PLU
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 1
PLU
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PLU
3 - 1
PUL
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
PUL
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 2
FOR
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
MSM
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MIN
3 - 0
FOR
37%
25%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
CIE
14%
22%
64%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +3 |