Plus Ultra vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
PLU
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PLU
0 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CFC
0 - 0
PLU
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PLU
1 - 0
AGU
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
EGP
0 - 0
PLU
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
5 - 1
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 5
CIE
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
MSM
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
CIE
24%
26%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
JUM
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |