Plus Ultra vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
IMP
2 - 1
PLU
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PLU
0 - 3
EGP
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PLU
1 - 2
MIN
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MUL
1 - 2
PLU
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
EGP
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
MIN
68%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
CHU
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 3
LOR
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
NUE
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |