Plus Ultra vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PUL
2 - 2
PLU
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 0
MOR
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LHO
0 - 1
PLU
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 2
PLU
45%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABA
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 2
PUL
19%
24%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 1
ABA
75%
16%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 2
LHO
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
ABA
57%
23%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |