Plus Ultra vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
YEC
2 - 2
PLU
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
PLU
7 - 0
LUM
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MAZ
2 - 2
PLU
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PLU
0 - 3
JUM
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PUL
3 - 1
PLU
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 1
PUT
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
ABA
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 4
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
ABA
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |