Plus Ultra vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDT
3 - 2
PLU
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PLU
2 - 4
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PLU
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PLU
0 - 0
MSM
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 0
PLU
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
YEC
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
VIL
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CLU
1 - 3
VIL
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PLU
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |