Plus Ultra vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
PLU
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 0
IMP
23%
25%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 0
JUM
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
PLU
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
PLU
2 - 2
YEC
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 3
PUL
35%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 1
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
MSM
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
MAR
16%
22%
63%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |