Plus Ultra vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
PLU
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
PLU
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
ABA
61%
22%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PUL
2 - 2
PLU
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 0
MOR
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 0
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LHO
1 - 1
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |