Plaza Colonia vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
50%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HFC
0 - 2
PLA
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 1
PLA
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
DEP
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 2
JUV
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 1
ROC
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 1
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
ATE
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |