Plaza Colonia vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 3
PLA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 2
DUR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 3
DUR
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CSC
6 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PLA
3 - 3
ATE
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ATE
3 - 2
PRO
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
ATE
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 3
PRO
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ATE
4 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |