Plaza Colonia vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
3 - 2
PLA
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
REN
1 - 2
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PLA
1 - 0
CSM
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 1
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
PLA
3 - 3
HBU
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
0 - 0
PRO
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
HBU
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 2
CSM
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 2
PRO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |