Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 2
BOS
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
PLA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
RAC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
PLA
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 0
PLA
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
5 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
APC
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APC
3 - 2
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |