Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ETS
0 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 1
CER
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 2
RIV
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
MWA
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 3
MWA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
LAN
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |