Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
JUN
5 - 1
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 0
LFC
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MWA
3 - 2
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PLA
2 - 2
PAY
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
4 - 1
PLA
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |