Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
56%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 2
PLA
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PLA
2 - 0
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CER
2 - 0
PLA
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
PLA
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 0
PAY
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2005 |
DEF
4 - 1
PAY
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |