Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 4
PLA
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PLA
2 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
26%
25%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
DEP
0 - 2
PLA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FEN
1 - 0
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 3
FEN
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 2
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |