Plaza Colonia vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 2
REN
37%
28%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DEP
0 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PLA
3 - 0
HBU
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 1
SUD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 1
CSC
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
BOS
2 - 2
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CSY
5 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
UMO
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
ATE
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 1
LUZ
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |