Platense vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
PLA
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
3 - 0
UAI
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
PLA
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
EST
6 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
ATL
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
FLA
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 1
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |