Platense vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DAL
1 - 0
PLA
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
PLA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 0
STM
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
PLA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
ATL
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 2
CCO
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |