Plabennec vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
13º
32
4º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USF
3 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
PLA
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ERG
77%
13%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAI
65%
18%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PLE
1 - 3
VAN
11%
14%
75%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 3
ERG
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ESS
0 - 4
VAN
10%
14%
75%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAN
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
SAI
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |