Plabennec vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
64%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 0
LUZ
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ASB
2 - 1
PLA
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 4
REI
19%
28%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MOU
1 - 1
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
USB
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
NIC
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 3
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |