Plabennec vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
13º
49
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 2
PLA
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SPM
0 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
GUI
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CES
3 - 0
PLA
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 0
ERG
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAI
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
70%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |