Plabennec vs Guichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
PLA
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
4 - 1
LAT
76%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 1
LAN
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
PLA
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 1
ROM
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Guichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 0
LAN
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
ERG
82%
11%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PON
0 - 1
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
PLA
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |