Plabennec vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
13º
29
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ERG
3 - 1
PLA
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 3
LOR
13%
21%
67%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 2
PLA
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SPM
0 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FLE
0 - 2
GUI
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ERG
2 - 0
FLE
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AFV
3 - 0
FLE
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAI
2 - 4
FLE
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
PON
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |