Plabennec vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
13º
31
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAI
65%
18%
16%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
PLA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SBR
2 - 4
PLA
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PLA
4 - 2
USF
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERG
1 - 3
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
ERG
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 3
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ERG
0 - 3
SPM
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |