Plabennec vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
LAN
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 2
PLA
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
SPM
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CES
0 - 0
PLA
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
VER
2 - 2
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
FBB
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 1
CHO
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |